Source: , NBC News, April 5, 2016
Donald Trump remains the national frontrunner ahead of the Wisconsin primary, but his support among Republicans and Republican-leaners has dropped three points to 45 percent, down from 48 percent last week.
Ted Cruz is behind him with 28 percent support and John Kasich has 18 percent support, according to the NBC News|SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking poll conducted online from March 28 to April 3 of 14,071 adults aged 18 and over, including 12,116 registered voters.
While Trump is still far ahead of the other candidates, this week’s 17-point margin is the lowest between Trump and Cruz since mid-February.
While Trump’s national numbers remain strong, results from our poll suggest he may not get the support from a key demographic group in Wisconsin. In the weeks leading up to the Republican primary, conservative activists across Wisconsin have been advocating against Trump.
In 2008, 27 percent of Wisconsin Republican primary voters identified as very conservative and in 2012, that number grew to 32 percent; very conservative Republican primary voters are likely to be influential in today’s primary contest. Cruz continues to outperform Trump among registered voters who identify as very conservative in our tracking poll. Forty-five percent of that group support Cruz compared to 41 percent who support Trump.